Monday, January 16, 2012

long weekend - EU gets the jitters

A long MLK weekend leads us into a short  trading week.  Over the long US weekend the S&P guys in Euro-land were busy taking a hard look at the state of the sovereign entities and their ability to pay back their debts.  Evidently, the "sure thing" of yesterday ain't such a sure thing anymore as people in the know have essentially come out and said that Greece will default shortly and that France is getting a downgrade for the large amount of toxic garbage on the nation's balance sheet.

Earnings season just got underway last week in the States and the season continues over the next several weeks.  People have noted the de-coupling of the US markets with Europe but we will see if a few bad earnings on this side of the pond or a few downgrades on that side of the pond gets everyone  re-coupled in the near term.

The slow melt-up since the October 2011 lows on extremely light volume is running out of steam and even in the past 5 years there are only a handful of instances that have such over-bought characteristics.

We are looking for a pull-back off the recent highs of this past week, maybe with a head-fake to the upside thrown in for good measure, but will be looking to play the long side of volatility or the short side of many high beta stocks that are levitating high above their 50 and 200 DMAs as of late.



Dow Jones   12,422.06       -48.96     (-0.39%) 
S&P 500        1,289.09         -6.41     (-0.49%)
Nasdaq          2,710.67        -14.03     (-0.51%)
















Wednesday, January 04, 2012

happy new year 2012 !!!!!

Another year, and with it comes another opportunity to put up great risk-adjusted returns and preserve capital while making money.

Goals, dreams, opportunities, hard work and just a little bit o' luck (?) - here's to a GREAT year!

With 15 minutes left in today's trading:

Dow 12,422.20 24.87 0.20%
S&P 500 1,276.69 -0.37 -0.03%
Nasdaq 2,649.65 0.93 0.04%       

I am going to be looking at a large set of charts later today and will put up a trade idea that looks good with an attractive risk/reward profile.

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